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Racer mohammad navid (navid91)
Race Number 1793
Date Sun, 8 May 2016 08:23:59 +0000
Speed 72 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 99.1%
Rank 1st place (out of 4)
Opponents abc_cs (2nd place) travao (4th place)

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The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)